So what college football picks can you make with confidence? 4 Michigan vs. Connecticut, Noon on ABC. Thanks for contacting us. ET matchup on Saturday. Which college football picks can you make with confidence in Week 3, and which Top 25 favorite goes down hard? 19 Wake Forest vs. Liberty, 5 p.m. on ACC Network. The Red Raiders have never taken down multiple Top 25, non-conference foes in any regular season. Oregon didn't do so well in its last game against a ranked opponent, as it was blown out of the water by Georgia in Week 1. Pick: Pitt wins 38-24 and COVERS the spread. The Demon Deacons quarterback missed Week 1 after having a blood clot surgically removed in early August, but he lit up Vanderbilt for 300 yards and four touchdowns in a 45-25 victory. They are 0-27 all-time against ranked opponents and have lost each of the last seven of those games by at least 38 points. See who else Sallee likes at SportsLine. Since October 2017, Connecticut is 1-38 against FBS opponents. No. Pick: Oklahoma wins 38-24 and COVERS the spread. Tennessee made a sizable statement by winning at Pittsburgh in overtime last weekend. The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. College football's Week 3 slate for the 2021 season features 73 games, and our NCAA experts are ready with their predictions and picks. But, with Hartman back under center for the Demon Deacons, the program is ready to resume rolling toward challenging for another ACC Atlantic Division title. with code NPBONUS50, 21+. This will be the Spartans' first true test of the season, and quarterback Payton Thorne is completing just 57.7 percent of his. College Football Expert Picks, Predictions: Week 3 7. This is a tough one to pick. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: collegefootball | pageType: stories | Just as during Lincoln Rileys tenure in Oklahoma, every team west of the Mississippi will struggle to keep up with his Trojans offense. A three-point win over then-No. It's payback time for the Utes, who fell 33-31 at San Diego State last season. 8 Cincinnati covers as a 3.5-point favorite at Indiana. No. Nick Shepkowski, FightingIrishWire.com: Louisville All rights reserved. This sets up a nice bounce-back opportunity for Baylor following last weekend's 26-20 double-overtime road loss at then-No. Another one of the college football predictions from the model: No. 12 BYU and No. Pick: Texas wins 41-24 and COVERS the spread. ET matchup on Saturday. The Wolverines get another giant spread against the Huskies. It's tough to know what to make of Pitt this week with the health of Kedon Slovis up in the air. The Cardinals' dual-threat quarterback had at least 260 passing yards and two passing touchdowns in all three of those games, but Florida State won the one when it sacked Cunningham six times. Oregon scored 31. South Carolina does have something fun brewing with Spencer Rattler at quarterback. The under (58.5) is also coming through with some room for error. section: | slug: college-football-odds-picks-predictions-for-week-3-2022-computer-simulation-likes-ole-miss-notre-dame | sport: collegefootball | route: article_single.us | At this point, Notre Dame's 2022 path seems uncertain, and another upset loss is possible. Pick: Clemson wins 45-13 and FAILS TO COVER the spread. Week 3 college football schedule and picks All times Eastern Saturday college football picks No. And which college football picks need to be part of your parlays? New customers only. Auburn Tigers at Penn State Nittany Lions (-5, 53) . Prediction: Indiana 28, Western Kentucky 24, California at Notre Dame, 2:30 p.m. on NBC. (23) in the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Sept. 11, 2021, in Denver. Of course, South Florida allows 35 points per game. Now, the Volunteers must avoid a letdown at home. The Western Kentucky offense isn't as prolific as it was last year when Bailey Zappe was running the show, but with another FCS quarterback (Austin Reed from West Florida), the Hilltoppers can still score in bunches, averaging 43.5 points in the early going. Miami has allowed 20 points under Mario Cristobal through two games. The difference? When the season kicked off, did we think each of these long-time rivals would have a new head coach? After last year's close call against Florida, the Crimson Tide pummeled Southern Mississippi by 49. Maybe the Layne Hatcher-to-Ashtyn Hawkins connection will burn Baylor once or twice, but the Bobcats won't score enough to make this interesting. SportsLine's model believes the loss to Marshall has created value on the Fighting Irish as 12-point favorites this week, as they are covering the spread in more than 50% of the latest simulations. Struggling on offense against the Bulldogs was to be expected, but giving up 439 passing yards and seven touchdowns on defense was not part of the plan when Dan Lanning was hired. Prediction: Clemson 56, Louisiana Tech 13, No. Fast forward one season, and it's the same time of year against another FCS opponent. Nor does Toledo have to figure out how to stop the likes of C.J. Under the direction of quarterback Caleb Williams (39-for-49, 590 passing yards, six touchdowns), the Trojans totaled 107 points versus Rice and Stanford. 22 Penn State travels to Auburn in a matchup between 2-0 teams. Pick: Oregon wins 31-24 and COVERS the spread. What we do know is Florida will likely play in many close games in 2022. The Gamecocks have offered no hints that they can slow down the best team in the nation or score on a team that hasnt surrendered a touchdown this season, but South Carolina similarly presented little hope when it covered last seasons 31-point spread and when it upset the Bulldogs as a 24.5-point underdog in 2019. The Sooners have plenty of firepower, so Sallee is not worried about the double-digit spread on Saturday afternoon. No. Since the beginning of 2011, the Bison are 151-12, including 5-0 against FBS opponents. That ground game got rolling in the second half against the Gators, though, and I suspect the flood gates will open while the defense tries to pitch its first shutout since 2009. Welcome to College Football News's European Union Experience. With 411.5 passing yards per game, they lead the nationdespite having lost starting quarterback Tyler Shough to a shoulder injury in the second quarter of Week 1. But after making mincemeat of Long Island and Massachusetts, the Rockets are about to increase the difficulty level. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: collegefootball | pageType: stories | 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. 22 Auburn on Saturday night. In the past decade, however, the Wildcats have six wins against FCS opponents by 31 points or more. If any of these games involving Top Five teams is going to be interesting, it's this one. Anyone who has followed it. 17 Baylor vs. Texas State, Noon on FS1. If you haven't already ripped up your Richardson Heisman ticket, you will enjoy this game. Nevada scored 32, threw for 476 yards and recorded 30 first downs. The return of Sam Hartman was real, and it was spectacular. We will . No. And, well, Arizona certainly isn't great. Though it might not matter in this contest, the health of versatile Wolverines running back Donovan. This spread just seems way too high. Led by quarterback Garrett Shrader (524 passing yards, five touchdowns), the Orange have totaled 79 points in beating Louisville and UConn. 21 Texas vs. UTSA, 8 p.m. on Longhorn Network. Best college football bonuses If you're signing up for a new sportsbook for some college football betting, here are two. Notre Dame held a 10-7 lead at No. This is the first time these programs have met since 2006 and at Eugene since the Ducks' 32-16 victory in 1990. However, Saban will do all he can to ensure his team isn't spooked again. One year ago, this was a triple-overtime showdown won by the Aztecs, who finished with just 248 yards. You don't go under on 39.5. Dan Harralson, VolsWire.com: Louisville One of the college picks the model is high on in Week 3: The Notre Dame Fighting Irish cover the 12-point spread against the Cal Golden Bears at home in a 2:30 p.m. 6 Oklahoma travels to Nebraska in the Big. 12 Notre Dame (-7.5) covers against Purdue at 2:30 p.m. And this season, they have been blasted by Tulane and Toledo. USC transfer Michael Trigg tied a school record with three touchdown receptions from his tight end position. Against a mighty fine Wolfpack secondary, though, Texas Tech could run into some trouble. 13 Miami. The change in venue is maybe worth a few points in the Tigers' favor, but it won't alter the fact that they are in dire straits at quarterback. 22 Penn State at Auburn, 3:30 p.m. on CBS. And they'll have to do it on the road, against an N.C. State program that's won 11 consecutive home contests. Jordan-Hare Stadium barely helped the Tigers sneak past San Jose State. There were four FCS-over-FBS upsets Saturday alone. USC's offense is getting all the attention with Lincoln Riley, but the defense has created nine turnovers in two games. If college football fans don't know about Tennessee receiver Cedric Tillman (15 receptions, 230 yards), remember the name. By, Nathan Papes/Springfield News-Leader/USA TODAY NETWORK, Barbara J. Perenic/Columbus Dispatch/USA TODAY NETWORK, Bryan Terry/The Oklahoman/USA TODAY NETWORK, Michael Longo/For USA Today Network/USA TODAY NETWORK, Jay Janner/Austin American-Statesman/USA TODAY NETWORK, This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google. Michigan State has also looked solid against the MAC's Western Michigan and Akron with the transfer tandem of Jalen Berger (Wisconsin) and Jarek Broussard (Colorado) filling Kenneth Walker III's shoes. Arkansas-Pine Bluff has played seven games against FBS opponents in the past decade. Clucko the Chicken (a coin flip), CFN: Louisville ET. The Huskies have eight turnovers in three games. | Cal comes into this game undefeated, despite struggling at home against UC Davis and UNLV. Including last season's 37-35 loss to Oklahoma State in the Fiesta Bowl, Marcus Freeman is the first Notre Dame coach to lose his first three games on the job. Jeremy Mauss, MWwire.com Florida State 25 Oregon, 3:30 p.m. on Fox. Under Kirby Smart, Georgia has covered fewer than 38 percent of its games as a favorite of at least 20 points. These teams haven't played since the 2006 Las Vegas Bowl. Last week, the dynamic quarterback pulled one out without his top two receivers (Puka Nacua, Gunner Romney). Pick: Ohio State wins 49-14 and COVERS the spread. Penn State has not covered the spread in its last six tries against an SEC team. Listening to these Wildcats, though, they won't take anything for granted, especially not with a defense that's held quality teams in Miami (Ohio) and then-No. Arizona Cardinals: Picks 3, 34, 66, 105, 169, 180. All times Eastern. There is not much worse than facing Alabama the week after it gets humbled. The Fighting Irish have been through a pair of tests to open the season, but they have managed a 2-0 record. No. Eastern Mich at Arizona St |Results So Far All Rights Reserved. Really, though, this is all about FCS juggernaut North Dakota State. There aren't players like Michael Hall Jr., Zach Harrison and Tommy Eichenberg in the MAC, though. Cal, which last started 3-0 in 2019, yielded 27 points in beating UC Davis and UNLV. Pick: Florida wins 47-24 and FAILS TO COVER the spread. No. SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated every Week 8 game 10,000 times with surprising results 7 Utah and a 10-point loss versus then-No. Plus, other interesting matchups. Read full article. It should be easy for the unproven sophomore after the monumental upset to Appalachian State last week. Prediction: Western Michigan 31, Pittsburgh 27, No. Anthony Richardson was a role player in last year's 42-20 victory against the Bulls. Michigan State has lost its past three games against Pac-12 opponents, but it breaks the trend here. Our predictions for each game are broken into four sections: Top 25 teams, best games between unranked teams, FCS teams against unranked FBS team and the rest of the slate. The offense? Louisiana-Monroe beat Alabama 21-14 in Saban's first season in 2014. The line has bounced all around from its open at -6.5, but it's trending back toward the Ducks. 6-keys: media/spln/collegefootball/reg/free/stories, at And, well, Georgia Tech has looked like a team that's understandably struggling to replace its three biggest playmakers (Jahmyr Gibbs, Jordan Mason and Kyric McGowan). Consider this to be one of the more intriguing matchups of Week 3. Georgia, Alabama, Ohio State, Michigan and Clemson are all favored by at least 25 points, according to the latest Week 3 college football odds at Caesars Sportsbook. known associate week 3 results: 3-3. 24 Texas A&M, 9 p.m. on ESPN. No. 2 Alabama and No. How else could a public university justify not waiting two weeks (the team has a bye next week!) 9 Baylor in double overtime. In the FCS vs. FBS section, instead of forecasting scores, we ranked which games are most likely to result in a loss for the FBS squad. The Utes are in win-out mode after the loss to Florida, and that showed in a 73-7 victory against Southern Utah last week. They are facing a Georgia Tech team that was blown out by Clemson in Week 1 before having to overcome a 14-7 deficit against Western Carolina last week. 25 Oregon vs. No. Throw in the fact that UTSA nearly knocked off then-No. Currently, CCU is ranked as the 16 th best team. No. Check out the latest college football odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned $3,500 in profit over the past five-plus seasons, and find out. 6 Texas A&M? Drew Pyne will now guide an offense that's totaled 30 points in two games. Petrino has rebounded to build Missouri State into a top-five FCS program, but he likely won't receive a warm welcome back to Fayetteville, thus providing plenty of intrigue. Players like Michael Hall Jr., Zach Harrison and Tommy Eichenberg in fact. Against an N.C. State program that 's totaled 30 points in beating UC Davis and.... Covers as a 3.5-point favorite at Indiana Davis and UNLV to Appalachian last... With Spencer Rattler at quarterback Tulane and Toledo this game undefeated, despite struggling at home 's call. Saturday college football Predictions from the Model: No close games in 2022 ( team... 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